News

Europe Roundup: Sterling dips after UK inflation reading, European shares little changed, Gold gains, Oil remains near multi-year highs as energy crunch persists-October 20th,2021

Posted at 20 October 2021 / Categories Market Roundups


Market Roundup

•UK Sep CPI (YoY)  3.1% ,3.2% forecast, 3.2% previous

•UK Sep CPI, n.s.a 112.40,  112.10 previous

•UK Sep  Core RPI (MoM)  0.4%  ,0.7% previous

•UK Sep   Core CPI MoM (MoM)  0.4%,0.5% forecast, 0.7% previous

•German Sep PPI (MoM)  2.3%, 1.0% forecast, 1.5% previous

•UK Sep CPI (MoM)  0.3%,0.4% forecast, 0.7% previous

•UK Sep Core PPI Output (MoM) 0.5%,1.0% previous

•UK Sep Core PPI Output (YoY ) 5.9%,5.3% previous

•UK Sep PPI Input (MoM)  0.4%,1.0% forecast, 0.4% previous

•EU Aug Current Account  13.4B, 21.6B previous

•EU Sep CPI (MoM)  5.0%,0.5% forecast, 0.4% previous

•EU Sep CPI (YoY) 3.4%, 3.4% forecast, 3.4% previous

•EU Sep Core CPI (YoY)  1.9%,1.9% forecast, 1.9% previous

•EU Sep HICP ex Energy and Food (MoM) 0.4%, 0.4%forecast, 0.2% previous

•EU Sep Core CPI (MoM)  0.5%,0.5% forecast, 0.5% previous

Looking Ahead Economic Data (GMT)

•12:30 Canada Common CPI (YoY) 1.8% previous

•12:30 Canada Median CPI (YoY) 2.6% previous

•12:30 Canada Trimmed CPI (YoY) 3.3% previous

•12:30 Canada Sep CPI (MoM)  0.1% forecast, 0.2% previous

•12:30 Canada Sep Core CPI (YoY)  3.5% previous

•12:30 Canada Sep Core CPI (MoM)  0.2% previous

•14:30  US Gasoline Inventories  -1.267M forecast, -1.958M previous

•14:30  US Cushing Crude Oil Inventories -1.968M previous

•14:30  US Crude Oil Inventories 1.857M forecast, 6.088M previous

Looking Ahead - Events, Other Releases (GMT)

•17:00 US FOMC Member Quarles Speaks

Fxbeat

EUR/USD: The euro was little changed on Wednesday after euro zone inflation came in line with  expectation . The European Union’s statistics office Eurostat said consumer prices in the 19 countries using the euro rose 0.5% month-on-month in September for a 3.4% year-on-year rise, as earlier estimated by Eurostat. While the headline number was well above the European Central Bank’s target of 2%, the overshoot was mainly a result of a 17.6% year-on-year surge in energy prices and a 2.0% rise in the costs of food, alcohol and tobacco. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1658 (38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1708(50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1592 (23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1500(Psychological level).

GBP/USD: The British pound dipped against the dollar on Wednesday  as sterling attracted sellers after UK inflation reading. Consumer prices rose 3.1% in annual terms in September, easing back from 3.2% in August, the Office for National Statistics said. A  poll of economists had pointed to inflation of 3.2% in September, although 11 of the 34 analysts polled predicted a slowdown. The pound was down marginally at $1.3784 GBP=D3 by 0830 GMT, below a one-month high of $1.3834 reached on Tuesday. Against the euro, the pound was unchanged at 84.34 pence.Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3803(23.6%fib),an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3856(Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3726(38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3687(50%fib).

USD/CHF: The dollar strengthened against Swiss franc on Wednesday as an improvement in global risk appetite boosted dollar. The dollar index was steady at 93.820 , having fallen since it hit a one-year high of 94.563 last week on expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve would tighten policy more quickly than previously expected. Traders priced in a tapering of Fed stimulus as soon as next month, followed by rate hikes next year. Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.9253(50%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.9284(61.8%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.9216(38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 0.9188(Higher BB).

USD/JPY: The dollar strengthened against yen on Wednesday as yen was dented by stronger dollar, expectations of a wider trade deficit in Japan due to rising oil prices and on views the Bank of Japan will stick to loose monetary policy even as other central banks move to tighten their policies. The dollar has gained 4.6% against the yen since its latest low hit in mid-September, amid growing bets that the United States will soon start unwinding pandemic-era policy, while Japan looks poised to keep interest rates low for some time. Strong resistance can be seen at 114.55(23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 115.00(Psychological level).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 113.95(38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 113.50(50%fib).

Equities Recap

European shares were flat on Wednesday as strong results from Nestle boosted food company stocks and made up for disappointing earnings from a clutch of firms, including French luxury group Kering and Dutch semiconductor company ASML.

At (GMT 10:46 ),UK's benchmark FTSE 100 was last trading up at 0.03 percent, Germany's Dax was up by 0.11  % percent, France’s CAC   was last down by 0.09 percent.

Commodities Recap

Gold prices rose on Wednesday, buoyed by a softer dollar, although gains were capped by elevated Treasury yields and the looming stimulus tapering by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Spot gold was up 0.5% to $1,777.90 per ounce at 0924 GMT. The metal rose as much as 1.2% on Tuesday. U.S. gold futures gained 0.5% to $1,779.40.

Oil futures rose on Tuesday and were near multi-year highs as an energy supply crunch continued across the globe, while falling temperatures in China revived concerns over whether the world's biggest energy consumer can meet domestic heating needs.

The Brent crude benchmark rose 75 cents to settle at $85.08 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures rose 52 cents to settle at $82.96 a barrel.


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