News

Europe Roundup: Pound falls as UK inflation hits 40 year high, European shares inch lower , Gold gains, Oil prices rise on China demand recovery expectations, supply concerns-May 18th,2022

Posted at 18 May 2022 / Categories Market Roundups


Market Roundup

•UK Apr Core PPI Output (YoY)                 13.0%, 12.0% previous

•UK Apr PPI Input (YoY)  18.6%, 19.0% forecast, 19.2% previous

•UK Apr PPI Input (MoM) 1.1%,1.1% forecast,5.2% previous

•German Apr Car Registration (MoM) -25.3%,20.4% previous

•German Apr Car Registration (YoY) -21.5%, -17.5% previous

•French Car Apr Registration (MoM)  -26.1% ,27.5% previous

•UK Car Apr Registration (MoM) -51.1%, 312.7% previous

•UK  Apr PPI Output (MoM) 2.3%,1.0% forecast,2.0% previous

•UK  Apr CPI (MoM) 2.5%, 2.6% forecast, 1.1% previous

•UK  Apr CPI (YoY) 9.0%, 9.1% forecast, 7.0% previous

•EU Apr CPI ex Tobacco (MoM) 0.6%,2.5% previous

•EU Apr Core CPI (YoY)  3.5%,3.5% forecast, 3.5% previous

•EU Apr CPI ex Tobacco (YoY) 7.6%,7.6% previous

•EU Apr CPI (YoY) 7.4% ,7.5% forecast, 7.5% previous

•EU Apr CPI (MoM)  0.6%, 0.6% forecast,2.4% previous

Looking Ahead - Economic Data (GMT)

•12:30 Canada Apr Core CPI (MoM) 0.4% forecast, 1.0% previous

•12:30 Canada Apr Core CPI (YoY) 5.4% forecast, 5.5% previous

•12:30 US Apr Housing Starts (MoM) 0.3% previous

•12:30 US Apr Housing Starts 1.765M      forecast, 1.793M previous

•12:30 US Apr Building Permits (MoM)  0.3% previous

•12:30 US Apr Building Permits  1.812M forecast, 1.870M previous

•12:30 Canada Apr CPI (MoM) 0.5% forecast,1.4% previous

•14:00 US Crude Oil Inventories 1.383M forecast,8.487M previous

•14:30 US Cushing Crude Oil Inventories               -0.587M previous

•14:30 US Gasoline Inventories -1.333M  previous

 Looking Ahead - Economic events and other releases (GMT)

• 15:00 ECB McCaul Speaks

• 15:10 German Buba Beermann Speaks

• 16:00 German Buba Beermann Speaks

Fxbeat

EUR/USD: The euro reversed an earlier rise to a one-week high on Wednesday, a day after European Central Bank policymaker Klaas Knot said a 50 basis point rate increase in July was possible if inflation broadens. Meanwhile, risk appetite faded   as nagging doubts about inflation and the drag from rate rises overshadowed bits and pieces of good news about the global growth outlook. On Wednesday, more ECB policymakers were banging the drum for interest rate hikes in the coming months. Money markets now expect as much as 108 bps of rate hikes through the rest of the year. The single currency was last 0.3% lower at $1.05175. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0574(21DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.0617 (38.2% fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0495 (23.6% fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.0452 (5DMA).

GBP/USD: The pound fell against the dollar on Wednesday after data showed British inflation rising to 9%, the highest level in 40 years. The drop reverses most of the gains made on Tuesday when the pound touched its highest level since May 5.Strong labour market data had boosted expectations that the Bank of England would have to further increase interest rates, but the latest inflation numbers are fuelling fears that the threat of recession may temper how far the central bank can go. Consumer price inflation hit 9% in April, making Britain’s inflation rate the highest of Europe’s five biggest economies and almost certainly the Group of Seven countries. At 0846 GMT, sterling was down 0.9% against the U.S. dollar at $1.23820. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.2514 (38.2%fib),an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.2605 (50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.2378 (23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.2333 (5DMA).

USD/CHF: The U.S. dollar edged higher on Wednesday, a day after posting its biggest single-day drop in more than two months after U.S. Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell struck a more hawkish tone as the central bank battles to rein in surging inflation.Powell pledged that the U.S. central bank would ratchet up interest rates as high as needed, including taking rates above neutral, to kill a surge in inflation that he said threatened the foundation of the economy. At 1055 GMT, the U.S. dollar index was up 0.3% at 103.57, after earlier touching a two-week low following Tuesday's 0.9% drop. It hit a two-decade high above 105 last week. Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.9996 (23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1056 (16th May high).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.9901  (14DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 0.9853 (38.2%fib).

USD/JPY: The dollar edged lower against the Japanese yen on Wednesday as concerns about the economic growth outlook and rising inflation knocked sentiment. Positive data had helped the short-term mood, with U.S. retail sales meeting forecasts for a solid increase in April and industrial production beating expectations. Data on Wednesday showed Japan’s economy shrank less than expected in the first quarter. However, any good news was offset by the reminder from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that controlling inflation would demand rate rises and possibly some pain. It is getting closer to its high this year of 131.34. Strong resistance can be seen at 129.72 (14 DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 130.00 (Psychological level).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 128.97 (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 127.34(50%fib).

Equities Recap

European shares slipped on Wednesday led by technology stocks, as worries about inflation and monetary policy tightening dampened optimism around China's economic recovery.

At (GMT 11:43 ),UK's benchmark FTSE 100 was last trading down at 0.26 percent, Germany's Dax was down  by 0.25 percent, France’s CAC finished was down by 0.34 percent.

Commodities Recap

Oil prices rose on Wednesday on expectations that easing COVID-19 restrictions in China will boost demand and as supply concerns grew.

Brent crude was up $1.24 cents, or 1.1%, at $113.17 a barrel at 0921 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed $1.69 cents, or 1.5%, to $114.09 a barrel.

Gold prices edged up on Wednesday as worries about inflation kept investors on tenterhooks, although U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments to shore up rate increases have kept non-yielding bullion’s gains in check.

Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,818.39 per ounce by 1014 GMT, while U.S. gold futures eased 0.1% to $1,816.60.


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